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2026 Midterm Elections

Public disputes concerning the 2026 U.S. midterm election cycle, including campaigns, candidates, conventions, advertising, endorsements, and election-related policy promises.

Related cases

Statements

Jonathan V. Last

Role at the time: Bulwark editor, posting on his personal Substack profile

Mixed or conditional

Responding to

Trump’s $5,000 election pledge: policy dividend or vote-buying?

"I’m half serious. Dems take the House and then send Trump his $5,000 bribe bill to sign"
Why we used this label

Combines a negative bribery characterization with tactical, qualified support for passage—not an endorsement of its economic merits.

Jonathan V. Last’s public note on passing Trump’s dividend bill (opens in a new tab) - Jonathan V. LastOriginal Substack note c-334105020, September 10, 2026, 1:19 p.m. EDT

Reem Ibrahim

Role at the time: Libertarian commentator, on her own X account

Mixed or conditional

Responding to

The $5,000 pledge conditioned on Republican control of Congress is an attempt to bribe people to vote Republican.

"Trump’s bribe is more explicit, but it’s not all that different."
Why we used this label

Combines a negative characterization with a materially different comparison that rejects treating the pledge as fundamentally exceptional. It is not support for the policy.

Amber Martin

Role at the time: Pennsylvania Republican convention delegate interviewed by Newsweek

Mixed or conditional

Responding to

Republicans could welcome Fetterman's cooperation without asking him to leave the Democratic Party.

"exactly what's needed in our country"
Why we used this label

Positive response qualified by acceptance of his remaining a Democrat.

Guy Ciarrocchi

Role at the time: Pennsylvania Republican convention delegate interviewed by Newsweek

Mixed or conditional

Responding to

Republicans could welcome Fetterman's cooperation without asking him to leave the Democratic Party.

"the two parties find a way to work together"
Why we used this label

Supports the appearance while qualifying what Republicans should seek next.

Nonnegotiable Michigan

Role at the time: Petition campaign

Mixed or conditional

Responding to

Abdul El-Sayed's cycle of violence framing after the Temple Israel attack

"Every constituency must occasionally remind its party that support is earned, not owed."
Why we used this label

The campaign conditions political support on stated commitments. This is one collective position, not a separate condemnation attributed to every signatory.

Jamie Raskin

Role at the time: United States representative, Meet the Press interview

Mixed or conditional

Responding to

Hasan Piker’s “Hamas over Israel” comparison

"I think all of that is an irrelevant distraction."
Why we used this label

His answer minimizes the electoral focus on Piker but contains an explicit condemnation of Hamas, so it is not a Hamas endorsement or a refusal to answer.

Mallory McMorrow

Role at the time: Michigan state senator

Mixed or conditional

Responding to

El-Sayed's immediate response should have stopped at an unqualified condemnation; adding causal context at that moment was a mistake.

"when they do something wrong"
Why we used this label

She treated the original remarks as wrong while accepting the value of the apology.

Xochitl Hinojosa

Role at the time: Democratic strategist and commentator

Mixed or conditional

Responding to

El-Sayed's immediate response should have stopped at an unqualified condemnation; adding causal context at that moment was a mistake.

"He admitted he was wrong. He apologized."
Why we used this label

She emphasized corrective action without defending the original statement.

Debbie Dingell

Role at the time: United States representative from Michigan

Mixed or conditional

Responding to

Hasan Piker’s remarks about American Jews, Israel, and antisemitic violence

"I don't agree with Hasan Piker on a lot of stuff."
Why we used this label

Dingell registers disagreement with Piker but does not offer a specific characterization of the disputed passage in the cited remarks.

David Axelrod

Role at the time: Democratic political strategist

Mixed or conditional

Responding to

Ossoff’s remark was sexist and misogynistic because it reduced a female White House aide’s professional role to a sexual implication.

"I thought that the attack was tough, fair, pointed. I thought the ‘with Natalie’ part was gratuitous and unnecessary and distracted and detracted from the attack."
Why we used this label

Expressly splits approval of the political argument from disapproval of the personal phrasing.

Mike Collins

Role at the time: Republican nominee for U.S. Senate in Georgia

Mixed or conditional

Responding to

Did Mike Collins support compensation for January 6 defendants?

"“A lot of things have been politicized and weaponized. And when the federal government harms you, then yes, they have a liability to you. That’s easy, yes sir.”"
Why we used this label

Collins’s answer is conditional on government harm and responds to a question broader than January 6 defendants, but the question was posed by a pardoned January 6 defendant who explicitly included January 6 participants.

Dan Pfeiffer

Role at the time: Pod Save America co-host and political strategist analyzing a Republican campaign ad

Mixed or conditional

Responding to

Mike Rogers’s 9/11 accusation against Abdul El-Sayed

"It's not the best version of that ad, but I understand the argument."
Why we used this label

His qualified argument concerns how the campaign ad might persuade voters. It is not support for Rogers’s claim that El-Sayed believed America deserved the attacks. The wording and speaker sequence were checked against the official full audio.

Bonus: Abdul El-Sayed Wins in Michigan feat. Bernie Sanders (opens in a new tab)Official full audio 20:06–24:23; Pfeiffer at 22:18–22:21 and Favreau at 22:21–22:23

Abdul El-Sayed

Role at the time: Democratic U.S. Senate candidate in Michigan, interviewed on Fox & Friends

Mixed or conditional

Responding to

Appearing at a political event with Hasan Piker does not establish agreement with all of Piker’s statements.

"Of course I don’t think 9/11 was justified."
Why we used this label

He combined rejection of the underlying sentiment with a defense of the campaign appearance; neither unconditional endorsement nor complete disavowal describes both parts.

El-Sayed rejects justifying 9/11 while defending campaigning with Hasan Piker (opens in a new tab)Opening interview quotations about 9/11 and appearing with someone without agreeing; embedded video 6392681742112

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Treasurer of Lancaster County, Pennsylvania, and a business owner.

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Education senior fellow at the Commonwealth Foundation and former CEO of the Chester County Chamber of Business and Industry.

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Vice president for public affairs at the Searchlight Institute.

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Dave McCormick

Republican U.S. senator representing Pennsylvania.

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John Fetterman

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