Josh Rogin: the "China will win" argument against AI regulation "isn't true"

Lead Global Security Analyst, The Washington Post

This idea that if we regulate AI, that China will win, is not true. And the way that we know that is because China regulates AI. They have the most regulation of their AI than any country in the world... So the tech bros in the U.S. that say if we regulate AI, the Chinese going to win - that's a self-serving argument. That isn't true.
Read the original post (opens in a new tab)Josh Rogin on X: "This idea that if we regulate AI, that China will win, is not true"

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Josh Rogin on X: "This idea that if we regulate AI, that China will win, is not true" (opens in a new tab)

About this source

Josh Rogin's own video clip posted to his X account, in which he argues China's own heavy AI regulation disproves the argument that U.S. regulation would let China win the AI race.

Before the quotation

Posted to X on September 18, 2026.

After the quotation

Rogin distinguished Chinese AI regulation, which he said is meant to protect the Communist Party, from U.S. regulation aimed at protecting privacy, data, and democracy.

How this statement is classified

Defended or excused

Case context: Should Washington impose stronger safeguards on frontier AI?

The label describes this statement’s response within the context above.

Why this label?

The case's fixed reference point is the proposition that Washington should impose stronger safeguards on frontier AI. Rogin directly rebuts the competitiveness objection to that proposition -- the same 'China will win' argument Nancy Mace used to reject safeguards in this case -- and argues U.S. regulation is compatible with staying ahead of China, supporting the case proposition.

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Illustration of the U.S. Capitol framed by an abstract AI network and transparent protective dome
Credit: The Dispute Index

Should Washington impose stronger safeguards on frontier AI?

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Lori Trahan

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AI has enormous potential to drive scientific discovery, strengthen key industries, improve public services, and create new opportunities for businesses and residents across Massachusetts. At the same time, the rapid pace of AI development raises serious concerns about safety, accountability, privacy, civil rights, the future of work, and public trust. We cannot allow this technology to move faster than our ability to put appropriate safeguards in place, and we can't let the responsibility for managing these risks rest with technology companies alone. We need strong action on both the state and federal levels.
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Gavin Newsom

Today I'm signing an executive order to speed up a first in America AI safety policy that we have here in California. [...] It dramatically speeds up our new law, creating a framework for truly independent safety checks, independent verification organizations, as well as moving the timeline up for oversight of AI auditors up by a full year. [...] California will do what it can, but this nation needs to get in the game. Washington DC needs to do its job. Remarkably, they left for a summer break. Mike Johnson should return from vacation and follow California's lead by passing national legislation. Get it done. That's what leadership requires, setting a comprehensive safety framework as a floor. [...] And if Congress, again, won't act, California will.
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