Stephen I. Schwartz is an independent nuclear policy researcher and a nonresident senior fellow at the Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists. He studies the history, costs and development of nuclear weapons programs. He edited and coauthored Atomic Audit and previously worked at the Brookings Institution and The Nonproliferation Review.
We have documented 1 statement by Stephen I. Schwartz, in 1 case. Each statement below gives the quotation, its original source and a link to the full case.
Case updates
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Role at the time: Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists senior fellow
Mixed or conditional
Statement summary
Schwartz cannot predict Trump's decision and warns of consequences if nuclear weapons are used.
“So, really, who knows?”
Open source (opens in a new tab)A Nuclear Strike On Iran? It Sounds Absurd Because It Is. Let's Talk About ItOpening section (White House statement) and section on Trump's past remarks and expert interviews
Why we used this label
Schwartz declines certainty about Trump's decision.
Tucker Carlson wrote on X that, under pressure from Benjamin Netanyahu, the Trump administration may be within days of a nuclear strike on Iran's Pickax Mountain. A White House official said Carlson has no insight into military planning.