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Prediction Markets

Disputes involving markets in contracts whose payouts depend on future events.

Related cases

Statements

Diana Goode

Role at the time: Executive director, Connecticut Council on Problem Gambling

Defended or excused

Responding to

Can Connecticut regulate sports prediction markets as gambling?

We support the state’s efforts, including seeking judicial remedies
Why we used this label

Her express approval supports enforcement; it does not merely describe it.

Diana Goode supports state enforcement (opens in a new tab) - Office of the Governor of ConnecticutDiana Goode quotation; final paragraph

Ned Lamont

Role at the time: Governor of Connecticut

Condemned

Responding to

Can Connecticut regulate sports prediction markets as gambling?

they are not adhering to Connecticut’s consumer protection standards
Why we used this label

He criticizes alleged failures and misleading assurances, beyond disputing terminology.

Ned Lamont criticizes prediction-market protections (opens in a new tab) - Office of the Governor of ConnecticutGovernor Lamont's second quoted paragraph

Jacki McGavick

Role at the time: Kalshi spokesperson

Condemned

Responding to

Can Connecticut regulate sports prediction markets as gambling?

You don't protect consumers by blocking exchanges that are actually regulated
Why we used this label

She criticizes the restriction itself, arguing it harms consumers.

Jacki McGavick responds to Connecticut (opens in a new tab) - CT InsiderMcGavick statement following the governor's September 10 news conference

Bryan T. Cafferelli

Role at the time: Connecticut Commissioner of Consumer Protection

Defended or excused

Responding to

The Connecticut Department of Consumer Protection argues that the sports-event products named in its September announcement must comply with the state's gambling licensing and consumer-protection requirements.

sports betting may only be offered by legal, licensed sportsbooks that adhere to our regulations and technical standards
Why we used this label

Cafferelli invokes mandatory state licensing and consumer protection to justify the announced enforcement. This substantively supports the state's action; it does more than dispute terminology for the products.

Connecticut announces nine prediction-market cease-and-desist orders (opens in a new tab) - Office of the Governor of ConnecticutOpening paragraphs; Commissioner Cafferelli quotation; nine-operator list

William Tong

Role at the time: Attorney General of Connecticut

Condemned

Responding to

Can Connecticut regulate sports prediction markets as gambling?

None of that is happening now on Kalshi, and we’re suing to put a stop to it
Why we used this label

Tong denounces alleged failures to protect consumers and says the state is suing to stop them. This expresses substantive criticism, not only a dispute over how sports contracts are characterized.

William Tong criticizes Kalshi's consumer safeguards (opens in a new tab) - Office of the Connecticut Attorney GeneralAttorney General Tong's quotation; final sentence after the list of consumer protections

Jovy Dedaj

Role at the time: Head of litigation at Kalshi

Condemned

Responding to

Can Connecticut regulate sports prediction markets as gambling?

This unequal treatment is exactly why federal oversight is necessary.
Why we used this label

Dedaj's unequal-treatment argument criticizes Connecticut's enforcement choices. It substantively rejects the state's approach rather than merely disputing terminology.

Jovy Dedaj responds to Connecticut's lawsuit (opens in a new tab) - Jovy DedajPost 2092719610936377746; concluding sentence on unequal treatment and federal oversight

Michael S. Selig

Role at the time: Chairman of the Commodity Futures Trading Commission

Condemned

Responding to

Can Connecticut regulate sports prediction markets as gambling?

The CFTC will continue to safeguard its exclusive regulatory authority over these markets and defend market participants against overzealous state regulators
Why we used this label

Selig criticizes the state regulators' intervention and argues that inconsistent requirements undermine consumer protection. That is substantive criticism of the challenged restrictions, beyond a disagreement over how to describe the contracts.

CFTC announces lawsuits against Connecticut, Arizona and Illinois (opens in a new tab) - Commodity Futures Trading CommissionRelease 9206-26; opening paragraph and Chairman Michael S. Selig quotation

People with useful coverage

Diana Goode

Executive Director at Connecticut Council on Problem Gambling

1 case and 1 statement

Ned Lamont

Governor of Connecticut

1 case and 1 statement

Jacki McGavick

Kalshi spokesperson and former Special Assistant to the President of the United States

1 case and 1 statement

Michael S. Selig

CFTC chairman quoted in the agency's April 2, 2026 announcement of lawsuits challenging state restrictions on prediction markets.

1 case and 1 statement

Bryan T. Cafferelli

Connecticut consumer protection commissioner identified in the state's September 10, 2026 prediction-markets announcement.

1 case and 1 statement

William Tong

Connecticut attorney general

1 case and 1 statement

Jovy Dedaj

Kalshi head of litigation

1 case and 1 statement